Gallery Sports’ Betting Picks for April 4, 2023

Apr 3, 2023; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankees second baseman Gleyber Torres (25) celebrates his solo home run against the Philadelphia Phillies during the third inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Gallery Sports’ Betting Picks for April 4, 2023

Gallery Sports’ Betting Picks went 2-1 on Monday, as Dalton Brown’s MLB record improved to 12-3 through the first five days of the league’s schedule. Here are three more spots he’s targeting on Tuesday night.

5:40 p.m. CT: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds

The Pick: Cubs First 5 Innings (-127) at BetRivers

After falling 7-6 to the Reds in Monday night’s series opener, I’m targeting the Cubs to bounce back with prized prospect Hayden Wesneski on the bump. Wesneski was dominant in limited action last season, posting a 2.18 ERA over 33 innings. He pitched 11 innings while allowing just one earned run versus Cincinnati, and the Reds haven’t exactly reloaded with a murderer’s row of talent. Reds starter Luis Cessa pitched in relief all season in 2022 and posted below-average Statcast numbers across the board. Cessa saw the Cubs on six occasions, allowing eight runs in 14 innings. Cessa has yet to be extended beyond 19 pitches this spring, so it also stands to reason that Cincinnati is approaching Tuesday night as more of a bullpen day than anything else. In any event, I’m more than comfortable giving the nod to the Cubs’ highly-touted pitching prospect to give them a lead through five innings.

6:05 p.m. CT: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Yankees

The Pick: Yankees team total over 4.5 (+100) at Caesars

The Phillies are 0-4, and turning to left-handed reliever Matt Strahm on Tuesday night against the Bronx Bombers does not breed confidence. New York posted an impressive wRC+ of 120 last season against lefties – third-best in the bigs – and is already on a roll offensively to begin the 2023 season. Philadelphia’s bullpen was bludgeoned Monday night after Taijuan Walker’s early exit, and aren’t expected to push Strahm beyond 65 pitches on Tuesday. Knowing this, expect a patient approach at the plate from the Yankees early to pay dividends as the game progresses. New York has gone over this total in every game this season, and Tuesday night looks to be set up for more of the same.

6:40 p.m. CT: New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers

The Pick: Mets First 5 Innings -0.5 (-115) at FanDuel

Milwaukee trounced the Mets in Monday’s home opener, but New York should get revenge on Tuesday night. Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Mets after a subpar (by his lofty standards) start on Opening Day in Miami, and my faith in the veteran righty hasn’t wavered. Scherzer dominated the Brewers when he saw them last season, pitching six perfect innings while striking out nine. I know what I’m getting with Scherzer, but I do not have similar confidence in Brewers starter Wade Miley. Miley, now 36, pitched just 37 innings last season due to injury. He posted xERA’s of 4.12 or higher in each of his last three full seasons, and New York posted a strong wRC+ of 109 against lefties in 2022. Max Scherzer is not likely to give up much at all, and I think the Mets will get to Miley for a few runs before long.

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