PREVIEW & ODDS: 11 seeds Pitt, Mississippi St. battle in First Four

Photo Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

PREVIEW & ODDS: 11 seeds Pitt, Mississippi St. battle in First Four

A pair of No. 11 seeds looking to rekindle past NCAA Tournament success meet when Pittsburgh battles Mississippi State on Tuesday in a First Four game at Dayton, Ohio.

The winner will advance to play No. 6 seed Iowa State in the first round of the Midwest Regional on Friday in Greensboro, N.C.

Mississippi St. opened as a 1.5-point favorite at BetMGM and the line has since shifted to 2.5 with the Rebels backed by 52% of the spread-line handle. However, Pittsburgh has drawn 52% of the total bets.

The line is also 2.5 points at BetRivers, where the Panthers have been the popular choice with 70% of both the total spread-line bets and money wagered.

Pittsburgh’s +120 moneyline has also been popular, drawing 69% of the money wagered on the market. The same moneyline at BetRivers has seen the Panthers backed by 78% of the money.

The Panthers (22-11) earned their first at-large bid since the 2015-16 season and their 27th overall tournament appearance by virtue of a 14-6 record inside the Atlantic Coast Conference, good for third place in the regular season. The team lost in the ACC tournament quarterfinals to Duke, 96-69.

“I’m really just happy for these guys because they’ve worked, they fought, and we’ve won, and I think it’s something that’s earned,” said Pitt head coach Jeff Capel. “For this group, to be the group to kind of get back to the big dance is a pretty cool, doggone thing.”

Pitt is led by All-ACC performers Jamarius Burton (15.6 points per game, 4.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists) and Blake Hinson (15.6 ppg, 6.2 rpg). Both players have scored in double-figures 28 times this season. ACC Sixth Man of the Year Nike Sibande is averaging 8.5 points and 3.9 rebounds.

This is the first postseason appearance for the Panthers in five seasons under Capel, and the fourth time he has led a team into NCAA Tournament play. Capel was named the ACC Coach of the Year and is also among the top candidates for the Naismith National Coach of the Year.

Pittsburgh’s 11-game win improvement overall is tied for the second-best mark in program history, while their eight-game upswing in conference play is a program record.

Under first-year coach Chris Jans, Mississippi State (21-12) will make its 12th tournament appearance, eight of which have come since the 2001-02 season. The best run for the Bulldogs came in 1996 under then-head coach Richard Williams when State defeated Virginia Commonwealth, Princeton, Connecticut, and Cincinnati during its NCAA Final Four run.

The Bulldogs finished the season as one of the SEC’s hottest teams, winning nine of their last 13 games. The run has been highlighted by a trio of NET Quad 1 wins over No. 11 TCU, at Arkansas, and against No. 25 Texas A&M.

“It was surreal,” said senior forward D.J. Jeffries. “A lot of teams were watching that didn’t get selected that thought they were. For us to be selected is a blessing. I thank God that we were in this situation and have this opportunity to be able to go dancing. Now we’ve just got to go take advantage of our opportunity.”

Only Will McNair Jr., who reached the tournament with Jans last season at New Mexico State, has experience in the tourney.

“It felt like a big relief off my back,” Jeffries said. “You’ve been fighting and striving since your freshman year to get here, and I finally got here after three years. It’s a blessing, and I’m excited. I’m just ready to get to business and go out there and play on the big stage for the first time.”

Oddsmakers are expecting a low-scoring affair.

The Over/Under opened at just 130.5 total points. It has since moved to 132.5, with the Over being backed by 78% of the total bets and 83% of the money. The market is 133.5 points at BetRivers, with the Over drawing 57% of the bets while the Under has been backed by 62% of the money.

–Field Level Media

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